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Is 9 tonnes of CO2 a year a lot?

9 tonnes of CO2 a year is more than 94% of the world's people emit, against a global mean of 4.7 tonnes per person. It is 1.9 times the world mean, 62% of the American figure, and would take about 405 trees a year to absorb.

Percentile
94%
of the world's people emit less than 9 tonnes of CO2 a year
9 tonnes of CO2 = 9.9 US tons a year

9 tonnes of CO2 by group

Percentile

Normal approximation, mean 4.7 t, SD 2.8 t, as in our carbon test
GroupMeanEmit less than you1 in X
World4.7 t94%1 in 16

Per person, by country

Territorial CO2 emissions divided by population, Our World in Data
CountryTonnes per person9 tonnes is
World4.71.9 times
Australia15.160% of it
United States14.562% of it
Canada14.263% of it
Japan8.71.0 times
Germany7.91.1 times
China7.61.2 times
Norway7.51.2 times
United Kingdom5.51.6 times
France4.62.0 times
Sweden3.82.4 times
Brazil2.33.9 times
India1.94.7 times

Percentile is the share of the world's people who emit less than this a year. “1 in X” counts the rarer side: people at or beyond this value above the median, at or under it below. Percentiles are estimated from a normal distribution with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, which understates the long right tail.

What this means

  • Absorbing 9 tonnes takes about 405 trees growing for a full year, at the 45 trees per tonne our carbon test uses. The rule of thumb is generous; trees are slow and offsets are a crowded market.
  • The closest national average is Japan at 8.7 t. An American averages 14.5 t, an Indian 1.9 t, so 9 tonnes is 4.7 times the Indian figure.
  • Country figures are territorial emissions divided by population: power stations, cement works and all, not a household's shopping. A personal calculator counts consumption and misses imports. Neither is precise to the tonne.
  • Emissions are skewed, with a long tail of frequent flyers and large houses. A normal curve is a rough fit, and the richest 10% of people cause about half of all emissions.

Questions

Is 9 tonnes of CO2 a year a lot?
9 tonnes a year is more than 94% of the world's people emit, against a global mean of 4.7 tonnes per person. That is European or Chinese territory, well above the world mean.
What is the average carbon footprint per person?
About 4.7 tonnes of CO2 a year worldwide. Australia averages 15.1 t, the United States 14.5 t, Germany 7.9 t, the United Kingdom 5.5 t, Sweden 3.8 t and India 1.9 t (Our World in Data, territorial emissions).
How many trees offset 9 tonnes of CO2?
About 405 trees absorbing for a year, at 45 trees per tonne. Put differently, one tree would need 405 years. Planting is cheap; the carbon stays out of the air only as long as the trees stand.

Source: Per-person CO2 by country: Our World in Data, Global Carbon Budget 2024, territorial fossil and industry emissions. Global distribution approximated as normal with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, as in our carbon test. Percentiles are estimated from a normal distribution with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, which understates the long right tail.

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