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Is 1 tonne of CO2 a year a lot?

1 tonne of CO2 a year is more than 9% of the world's people emit, against a global mean of 4.7 tonnes per person. It is 21% of the world mean, 7% of the American figure, and would take about 45 trees a year to absorb.

Percentile
9%
of the world's people emit less than 1 tonne of CO2 a year
1 tonne of CO2 = 1.1 US tons a year

1 tonne of CO2 by group

Percentile

Normal approximation, mean 4.7 t, SD 2.8 t, as in our carbon test
GroupMeanEmit less than you1 in X
World4.7 t9%1 in 11

Per person, by country

Territorial CO2 emissions divided by population, Our World in Data
CountryTonnes per person1 tonne is
World4.721% of it
Australia15.17% of it
United States14.57% of it
Canada14.27% of it
Japan8.711% of it
Germany7.913% of it
China7.613% of it
Norway7.513% of it
United Kingdom5.518% of it
France4.622% of it
Sweden3.826% of it
Brazil2.343% of it
India1.953% of it

Percentile is the share of the world's people who emit less than this a year. “1 in X” counts the rarer side: people at or beyond this value above the median, at or under it below. Percentiles are estimated from a normal distribution with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, which understates the long right tail.

What this means

  • Absorbing 1 tonne takes about 45 trees growing for a full year, at the 45 trees per tonne our carbon test uses. The rule of thumb is generous; trees are slow and offsets are a crowded market.
  • The closest national average is India at 1.9 t. An American averages 14.5 t, an Indian 1.9 t, so 1 tonne is 53% the Indian figure.
  • Country figures are territorial emissions divided by population: power stations, cement works and all, not a household's shopping. A personal calculator counts consumption and misses imports. Neither is precise to the tonne.
  • Emissions are skewed, with a long tail of frequent flyers and large houses. A normal curve is a rough fit, and the richest 10% of people cause about half of all emissions.

Questions

Is 1 tonne of CO2 a year a lot?
1 tonne a year is more than 9% of the world's people emit, against a global mean of 4.7 tonnes per person. That is under the world mean, in the range of India, Brazil and Sweden.
What is the average carbon footprint per person?
About 4.7 tonnes of CO2 a year worldwide. Australia averages 15.1 t, the United States 14.5 t, Germany 7.9 t, the United Kingdom 5.5 t, Sweden 3.8 t and India 1.9 t (Our World in Data, territorial emissions).
How many trees offset 1 tonne of CO2?
About 45 trees absorbing for a year, at 45 trees per tonne. Put differently, one tree would need 45 years. Planting is cheap; the carbon stays out of the air only as long as the trees stand.

Source: Per-person CO2 by country: Our World in Data, Global Carbon Budget 2024, territorial fossil and industry emissions. Global distribution approximated as normal with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, as in our carbon test. Percentiles are estimated from a normal distribution with mean 4.7 t and SD 2.8 t, which understates the long right tail.

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